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Richard3678's avatar

The Intergenerational Report should be one of the most important documents produced by any Australian government.

It is supposed to look 40 years ahead — beyond the next election, beyond the next Budget and beyond the political careers of those making today's decisions.

That is precisely the challenge this excellent article identifies: what sort of Australia are we trying to leave to the next generation?

Yet the 2026 IGR increasingly reads like an exercise in explaining and defending the present rather than genuinely confronting the future.

Treasury projects the economy to 2065–66, but a 40-year projection is only useful if it forces us to confront the choices that determine that outcome: productivity, taxation, government spending, debt, regulation, housing, energy, demographics, investment and the incentives facing the people who actually produce Australia's wealth.

Most importantly, it should ask uncomfortable questions:

What happens if productivity does not magically return to the assumed long-term rate?

What happens if government spending continues to expand?

What happens to the living standards of the next generation if housing remains unaffordable and debt remains with them?

What happens if today's policy choices discourage investment, enterprise and production?

And perhaps the most important question of all:

What Australia are we actually trying to build?

The danger is that the IGR becomes less an independent warning about Australia's future and more a mirror in which today's Treasurer admires the reflection of today's policy choices.

An Intergenerational Report should challenge governments — including the government of the day — to change course where the evidence demands it.

It should not simply tell future generations why today's choices are going to work.

The next generation deserves something much more valuable:

A government willing to tell them the truth about the choices being made today — and the bill those choices may leave behind.

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